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European Elections 2014

The European Election on May 22nd is one of the largest elections in the world (although not as big as the Indian general election). Voters in 28 countries will elect 751 MEPs including 73 in the United Kingdom.

In the European Parliament national parties combine with others to make European groupings. The Conservatives sit with the Alliance of European Reformists and Conservatives, Labour sit with the Party of European Socialists, for example. In the parliament the right wing parties predominate with about 48% of the seats, parties of the left have about 30%, Liberals 11%, Greens 8%, Independents 3%. There tends to be more switching of parties in the European Parliament than at Westminster, especially the case with UKIP, they won 13 seats in 2009 but by 2014 they were down to 10 because they had 2 defections to the Conservatives, 2 resignations and one defection from the Conservatives to them. When a member leaves for any reason, there is no by-election but instead a replacement from the same party takes the seat.

How the election works

Each country organises their elections slightly differently. Great Britain is divided into 11 regions who elect MEPs from what is called a 'party list'. That is voters only vote for a party, who decides the order in which their candidates will be elected. The higher up the party list you are the better your chances of being elected. Hartley is part of the South East Region which elects 10 MEPs.

Unlike a general election, the seats are allocated more proportionally which means the seats a party wins better reflects the number of votes they get. A system called D'Hondt is used, which is not true proportional voting because it slightly favours larger parties over the smaller.

In this system you first count the total number of votes for each party and the first of the 10 seats is allocated to the party with the most votes, their total vote is then divided by 2 (that is 1 + the number of seats already won). When a party wins 2 seats, its vote is divided by 3 and so on.

In 2009 the South East Region votes and seats as allocated under D'Hondt are set out in the table below. The Conservatives got most votes with 812,288 and so got the first seat, their vote was then divided by 2, which meant for the next round UKIP topped the poll and got the 2nd seat. UKIP's vote was then divided by 2. For the 3rd seat the Conservatives were once again the largest party with 406,144 votes (half of 812,288) and so the seat was theirs, as they now had 2 seats their total vote was then divided by three.

 Seat Number

CON

UKIP

LIBDEM

GREEN

LAB

Elected

 

34.8%

18.8%

14.1%

11.6%

8.2%

 

1

812,288

440,002

330,340

271,506

192,592

CON

2

406,144

440,002

330,340

271,506

192,592

UKIP

3

406,144

220,001

330,340

271,506

192,592

CON

4

270,696

220,001

330,340

271,506

192,592

LIBDEM

5

270,696

220,001

165,170

271,506

192,592

GREEN

6

270,696

220,001

165,170

135,703

192,592

CON

7

203,022

220,001

165,170

135,703

192,592

UKIP

8

203,022

143,704

165,170

135,703

192,592

CON

9

162,458

143,704

165,170

135,703

192,592

LAB

10

162,458

143,704

165,170

135,703

96,296

LIBDEM

Total

4

2

2

1

1

 

The 2014 Campaign

A full list of parties and candidates is available from Southampton Council who are organising the poll in the South East. The parties standing are: 

Conservative*
Labour*
Liberal Democrat
Green*
UKIP*
An Independence from Europe*
BNP
Christian People's Alliance
English Democrats*
Harmony Party
Liberty Great Britain
Peace Party
Roman Party
Socialist Party of Great Britain*
Your Voice

(Starred (*) parties have circulated leaflets in Hartley)

The BBC website has summaries of all the parties' policies and links to their websites for more information.

No candidates are from Hartley, Longfield or New Ash Green. The English Democrats have 3 candidates from Dartford, while the Peace Party has one.

There have been no South-East only opinion polls, however many polling organisations split their results down by region. It should be noted that the lower numbers involved mean that statistically, these are not as accurate a reflection of voting intention as the national figures.

The average of two polls taken about 9 May gives a rough percentage poll for the South East (numbers in brackets are percent change since 2009) with the projected number of seats:

UKIP 37% (+19%) - 4/5 seats
Con 26% (-9%) - 3 seats
Lab 16% (+8%) - 1/2 seats
Libdem 10% (-4%) - 1 seat
Green 6% (-6%) - 0 seats

The Results

Each borough is counted separately, which gives us some idea of how people voted locally. These are not the same areas as parliamentary constituencies, Hartley's Euro vote is counted in Sevenoaks, rather than Dartford which is our Westminster seat.

 Party

Sevenoaks

Dartford

South East

 Conservative

11,182

34.8%  
(-3.2%)

6,366

24.1%  
(-4.7%)

723,571

0.7%  
(-3.6%)

 Labour

3,349

10.4%  
(+3.7%)

5,323

20.2%  
(+5.3%)

342,775

14.7%  
(+6.4%)

 Lib Dem

1,993

6.2%  
(-4.6%)

766

2.9%  
(-4.0%)

187,876

8.0%  
(-6.1%)

 Green

2,220

6.9%  
(-3.7%)

1,276

4.8%  
(-2.9%)

211,706

9.1%  
(-2.6%)

 UKIP

11,873

36.9%  
(+18.3%)

10,758

40.8%  
(+21.9%)

751,439

32.1%  
(+13.3%)

 Christian People's Alliance

222

0.7%
 

163

0.6%  
(-1.1%)

14,893

0.6%  
(-0.9%)

 English Dem

233

0.7%
 

484

1.8%  
(-7.6%)

17,771

0.8%  
(-1.5%)

 BNP

205

0.6%  
(-4.0%)

307

1.2%  
(-6.7%)

16,909

0.7%  
(-3.6%)

 An Independence from Europe

617

1.9%  
(n/a)

663

2.5%  
(n/a)

45,199

1.9%  
(n/a)

 Others

244

0.8%
 

274

1.0%  
(-2.4%)

25,940

1.1%  
(-3.1%)

 

 

 

 

 Turnout

 37.48%

37.02%

36.46%